Before You Buy, Read This 📖

Mark Spitznagel, who made $1B in a single day during the 2015 flash crash, warns markets are mimicking 1929. Yeah, just another oracle spouting gloom and doom, right?

Vanguard and Goldman Sachs forecast just 5% and 3% annual S&P returns respectively for the next decade (2024-2034).

Bonds? Not much better.

Enough warning signals—what’s something investors can actually do to diversify this week?

Almost no one knows this, but postwar and contemporary art appreciated 11.2% annually with near-zero correlation to equities from 1995–2024, according to Masterworks Data.

And sure… billionaires like Bezos and Gates can make headlines at auction, but what about the rest of us?

Masterworks makes it possible to invest in legendary artworks by Banksy, Basquiat, Picasso, and more – without spending millions.

23 exits. Net annualized returns like 17.6%, 17.8%, and 21.5%. $1.2 billion invested.

Shares in new offerings can sell quickly but…

👉 [My subscribers skip the waitlist].*

_{*Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Important Reg A disclosures: masterworks.com/cd.}

U.S. stocks did their best impression of a sinking cruise ship on Monday. All three major indexes closed in the red as traders braced for a monster week of Q3 earnings and long-delayed economic data finally hitting the tape.

The S&P 500 dropped 0.9%, the Nasdaq slid 0.8%, and the Dow face-planted 1.2%.
Not catastrophic… but definitely “hide the kids’ college fund” energy.

And volatility? Yup — the VIX popped above 22.
Markets walked in Monday morning and chose violence.

The S&P also slipped below key technical support thanks to the Great AI Deflation™ — investors ditching the hype while they wait for Nvidia to report on Wednesday.

AI bros are sweating harder than ChatGPT trying to pass a CAPTCHA.

This week is a triple-boss run:

Basically: housing, chips, and cheap socks. The whole U.S. economy, more or less.

Nvidia fell 1.9% after Peter Thiel’s hedge fund rage-quit its entire NVDA position.

SoftBank also tapped out.

When billionaire VCs start selling, retail traders clutch their GPUs like emotional support animals.

Meanwhile, Dell said it’s integrating Nvidia chips into its servers to pump enterprise AI power… and the market rewarded this innovation by absolutely punting the stock 8.3% — the worst performer in the S&P 500.

While everyone else was panic-selling chips, Warren Buffett went full “buy the Google.”

Berkshire revealed a new stake in Alphabet, sending $GOOG ( ▲ 1.39% ) up 3.1%.

The company also launched an AI-powered travel tool that builds custom itineraries. Basically a robo-agent that doesn’t judge you for wanting to visit three restaurants and zero museums.

After weeks of radio silence, the government finally dropped delayed economic data:

Turns out people are still building things… just not affordable homes.

Bitcoin dipped under $93K, now nearly 26% off its all-time high.

Risk-off sentiment is so strong even Gold has been trading like a speculative meme coin lately.

The 10-year Treasury yield dropped 21 bps to 4.14%, while the 2-year inched up to 3.62%.

The bond market has been frozen solid… but that changes this week with new data rolling out. Starting with Thursday’s labor report. Expect more volatility than a Tesla Cybertruck panel gap.

1. Play the “Earnings Week Momentum”
Big hitters are reporting. Volatility = opportunity.
You don’t need to YOLO — just ride the post-earnings reaction.
📌 Action: Build a small, diversified earnings reaction basket using fractional shares. Add to $HD ( ▲ 1.5% ) if home improvement sentiment rebounds. Add to $WMT ( ▲ 2.84% ) if consumer strength shows. Add to $NVDA ( ▼ 4.17% ) ONLY after earnings if the report confirms the AI trend is still alive. Scale in after the dust settles — not before.

2. Lean Into Buffett’s Alphabet Bet
When Buffett buys, he’s not playing darts. He’s playing chess with insider-level patience.
Alphabet just got a +3% boost AND is rolling out new AI search tools. That’s not noise, that’s a new growth narrative.
📌 Action: Start a long-term $GOOGL ( ▲ 1.43% ) position (or add to your existing one) using dollar-cost averaging over the next 4–6 weeks. If Buffett’s buying + AI product launches = long runway.

3. Rotate Into “Risk-Off Strength” While Markets Panic
Bitcoin sliding 26%, VIX spiking, and bonds cooling all scream one thing:
Money is shifting to safer, high-quality equities.
📌 Action: Build or increase positions in defensive winners. Healthcare ETFs $XLV ( ▲ 1.77% ), Consumer staples $XLP ( ▲ 1.29% ), $WMT ( ▲ 2.84% ) after earnings, Large-cap dividend growers $SCHD ( ▲ 0.83% ).
Use this period of fear to rotate into durable, cash-flow machines that get stronger when volatility spikes.

Billionaire Peter Thiel just did the financial equivalent of Irish-exiting the hottest AI party on Wall Street.

His hedge fund, Thiel Macro LLC, noped out of its entire Nvidia $NVDA ( ▼ 4.17% ) position in Q3 — all 537,742 shares, gone. Poof. At Sept. 30 prices, that’s about $100.3 million worth of AI rocket fuel… unloaded like it was starting to smell funny.

So what’s Thiel holding onto now?

Basically: less “AI chips to the moon,” more “Big Tech boomer-core.”

And here’s where it gets spicier: Thiel has been quietly backing Nvidia rivals like Substrate, plus AI startups Mercor and Cognition AI. Selling NVDA while investing in competitors? That’s like breaking up with someone then immediately dating their sister.

He’s not alone in the cold-feet department. SoftBank dumped its own Nvidia stake for a casual $5.83 billion in October.

It’s a move that screams, “AI bubble? I don’t know her… but also maybe yes.”

Meanwhile, Nvidia stock hasn’t exactly been benching PRs. Since Sept. 30, it’s up just 1.5% — basically flat for a company that usually moves like it drank 4 cans of Monster.

Zoom out, though, and the hedgie herd is perfectly split. Bloomberg tallied 13Fs from 909 funds:

Wall Street hasn’t been this 50/50 since people argued whether crypto was dead (it wasn’t) or if Tesla was a car company or a religion.

Bitcoin woke up Monday morning, looked at the market, and said, “Yeah… I’m done here.”

The world’s biggest crypto dropped to $93.1K, a 26% faceplant from its all-time high of $126.2K back in October.
Why? Because investors decided risk assets are out, emotional support cash is in, and Bitcoin drew the short straw.

And the pain wasn’t just price action. Bitcoin ETFs saw $1.38 billion walk out the door last week. That’s three straight weeks of outflows. Imagine hosting a party and everyone leaves early… with your furniture.

Risk-off energy everywhere.

Bitcoin-linked stocks? Yeah… they got BBQ’d too.

Even the miners couldn’t escape:
$MARA ( ▲ 5.8% ), $GREE ( ▼ 6.15% ), $CLSK ( ▼ 4.69% ), $BTBT ( ▼ 6.18% ), $RIOT ( ▼ 4.68% ) — all red. All sad.

But not everyone had a bad day.
Two miners somehow spawned a survivor buff:

In a sea of Ls, they showed up wearing floaties.

According to Glassnode’s Chris Beamish, Bitcoin might be entering the “ehh… maybe we’re done bleeding?” zone.

He points to two things:

Put those together and you get a vibe shift: maybe — maybe — BTC is stabilizing around the $94K–$100K range.

Beamish calls it “exhaustion signals.” Basically, the market’s too tired to panic any harder.
The crypto equivalent of crying yourself out of energy.

While everyone else was doomscrolling, Michael Saylor said:
“Sounds like a discount.”

Strategy $MSTR ( ▼ 2.92% ) bought $835.6 million in Bitcoin last week.
That brings their total stack to a casual $61 billion.

Yes. Billion with a B.
Saylor is playing Bitcoin like a New Game+ run while the rest of us are stuck in the tutorial.

His buying is one of the only chunky inflows happening right now… a reminder that whales move differently.

Bitunix analyst Dean Chen says two levels matter right now:
$100K (resistance) and $93K (danger zone).

Break below $93K? Liquidity gets spicy, and not in a fun way.
Hold the line + some active buying + ETF outflows chill out? We could see a post-deleveraging rebound.

Chen says to track three things:

If all three improve at the same time → real buyers return.
If not? Markets keep drifting wherever liquidity decides.

1. Accumulate BTC in the “Fear Zone”
Bitcoin is sitting in the $94K–$100K area — a range analysts say could be a temporary bottom as outflows slow and oversold signals pop up.
📌 Action: Dollar-cost average (DCA) small amounts into BTC while sentiment is weak. Increase buys only if ETF outflows stabilize and whales start accumulating again. The markets tired of panicking. 😮‍💨

2. Target Strong Miners Showing Relative Strength
Most miners bled… but $HIVE ( ▼ 6.14% ) and $HUT ( ▼ 2.9% ) outperformed in a red market thanks to earnings and strategic moves.
📌 Action: Build small positions in miners showing fundamental catalysts and relative strength during selloffs. Avoid the ones drowning in red. Find the survivors, not the swimmers. 🛟

3. Follow the Whales & Mirror Accumulation Trends
Saylor just bought $835M of BTC. Analysts say whale transfers + ETF flows + derivatives volatility will signal the next trend shift.
📌 Action: Track on-chain whale accumulation and ETF flow reversals. Add to long-term BTC or BTC-related equities only when all three metrics flip positive. When whales eat, retail eats later.🐳💰