Nvidia Is About To Drop...

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Wall Street pulled a classic Tuesday fade.

The Nasdaq decided it was speed-running a mini crash. At one point it was down 2%, before crawling back to a respectable –1.2%.

The S&P 500 followed along, giving up 0.8%, while the Dow dipped 1% because… of course it did. Blue chips gonna blue chip.

Meanwhile, Energy stocks said “not today, Satan” and closed green. Consumer Discretionary? They got folded like a cheap lawn chair.

Bond land wasn’t much more exciting. The 10-year Treasury yield inched down 2 bps to 4.12%, and the 2-year slipped 3 bps to 3.57%. Tiny moves, but enough for traders to pretend they “saw it coming.”

The real drama came from the Fed outlook, which is getting more hawkish by the day. Rate-cut dreams are dying faster than my New Year’s resolutions. Futures now give just a 41% chance of a December cut — down from 43% on Friday. (Yes, we celebrate 2% swings in probability now.)

Then in geopolitical news, President Donald Trump casually announced that Saudi Arabia plans to invest up to $1 trillion in the U.S. economy. No biggie, just a casual trillion dollars being passed around.

But tomorrow? Tomorrow is Nvidia Day.

$NVDA ( ▼ 0.97% ) will report earnings, and analysts basically expect Jensen Huang to walk on water. Main Street Research says Nvidia will beat estimates, raise guidance, and continue printing money like it’s an AI-powered cash factory. Zero slowdown expected — the AI party is just getting started.

Retail earnings are also on deck, with Lowe’s and Target reporting tomorrow, followed by Walmart and Ross Stores on Thursday.

We’re about to find out whether the U.S. consumer is thriving… or eating cereal for dinner again.

Speaking of retail pain: Home Depot $HD ( ▲ 3.29% ) just whiffed earnings for the third straight quarter and cut its full-year outlook.

The stock fell 1.7%, sinking to its lowest level since June. It’s now down 18% over two months. It’s the market equivalent of stepping on a Lego barefoot.

1. Ride the Energy Strength
Energy was the only sector flexing green while the rest of the market faceplanted. And rising rate uncertainty + global tensions usually keeps oil & gas demand defensive.
📌 Action: Dollar-cost average into broad energy plays like $XLE ( ▲ 0.63% ) or diversified producers like $CVX ( ▼ 0.22% ) $XOM ( ▲ 0.05% ). Add on dips while the sector stays the “flight-to-safety” trade.

2. Position for Nvidia’s Ripple Effect
Nvidia earnings tomorrow are the week’s main event. Strong results often lift the entire AI/semiconductor ecosystem — not just NVDA.
📌 Action: Add to AI-adjacent winners like $AMD ( ▼ 1.09% ), $AVGO ( ▼ 1.91% ), $SMH ( ▲ 0.32% ), or cloud names benefiting from AI capex (like $MSFT ( ▼ 1.32% )). Let the “AI halo effect” lift the boat, not just the chip king.

3. Play the Consumer Weakness Trend
Home Depot missed earnings for the third straight quarter — not a one-off. With big-box retailers reporting this week, weak consumer trends could keep hammering discretionary names.
📌 Action: Shift exposure toward consumer staples ETFs $XLP ( ▲ 1.09% ) or strong defensive retail like $WMT ( ▼ 1.67% ) that tends to outperform when consumers tighten spending.

Waymo just hit the gas on its robotaxi world tour. And this time, it’s rolling into five new U.S. cities like it’s collecting gym badges: Miami, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando.

Starting today, Miami gets dibs. The other four cities are getting onboard “soon™,” with public rides coming next year.

The future is here, it just needs a few weeks to finish loading.

Waymo’s whole vibe right now? Consistency. Like the friend who orders the same thing at every restaurant but somehow makes it look smart.

Their formula goes like this:

It’s basically an AI feedback loop powered by every questionable decision humans make behind the wheel.

And according to Waymo, it’s paying off: every new city requires fewer tweaks than the last. The robot is learning… and honestly, we should be scared.

Waymo dropped a brag that actually matters: its self-driving system has 11x fewer serious-injury crashes than humans.

You’re 11x more likely to get injured by a guy named Kyle in a lifted pickup than by a Waymo.

Tesla’s playing in the same arena with its robotaxi efforts. Musk says Tesla’s crash rate is around 1 per 100,000 km. Worse than Waymo’s, but still better than Chad texting his situationship while changing lanes.

Analysts expect Tesla to be running robotaxis in multiple metro areas by end of 2025. So yes, we’re barreling toward a world where your Uber driver may not even exist.

This isn’t just autonomous cars. This is the opening round of the Robotaxi Wars™. Waymo vs Tesla in a battle to see who becomes the Apple of transportation… and who becomes the BlackBerry.

Waymo is scaling quietly and methodically. Tesla is scaling loudly and chaotically.
Both might win. Or both might crash (hopefully only metaphorically).

But one thing’s for sure: cities are about to get real weird real fast.

Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai just went on BBC and basically said:

“Yeah, AI is the future… but also, y’all are acting a little crazy.”

In classic Sundar calm-dad energy, he called the AI investment boom “extraordinary,” then followed it up with the most polite way possible of saying irrational.

Think dot-com vibes, but with more GPUs and fewer fax machines.

Pichai pointed out that the internet era was full of wild excess — companies raising billions to sell dog food online — but nobody doubts the internet was world-changing.

His message?

AI = profound. The money flowing into AI = sometimes deeply unserious.

And if this bubble pops?

Everyone’s getting smacked.

Sundar literally said no company is immune.
Not even Google... the company that basically invented the data center flex.

Still, he’s confident Alphabet can take a punch. Fair. They’ve been printing cash since before TikTok kids were born.

Pichai admitted Alphabet’s AI hunger has been brutal on its climate goals.
AI servers are basically space heaters with opinions.

But he still insists Alphabet is aiming for net zero by 2030 thanks to new energy tech, smarter infrastructure, and probably a few prayers to the renewable energy gods.

Basically: if it sounds futuristic, Alphabet’s trying to own it.

On a podcast, he hinted that AI might be heading toward a good old-fashioned bubble pop.

His take: big infrastructure buildouts tend to produce big hype → big bubbles → big ouch.

And honestly?

He’s not wrong. When Zuck — a man who spent ~$20B on the metaverse — starts calling your sector overheated, maybe take a breath.

J.P. Morgan says for AI to justify the investment tsunami coming through 2030, the industry needs to generate $650 BILLION per year just to hit a modest 10% return.

AI needs to cough up half a trillion dollars annually just to not disappoint Wall Street.

Her view?

We’re in an AI bubble. Full stop.

And she says it has the same chaotic energy as the late ’90s dot-com era.

(Word on the street is she said this while staring directly at an Nvidia stock chart.)

The AI boom is real. The hype is realer. Just make sure your portfolio isn’t built entirely out of vibes and semiconductors.

1. Accumulate “AI Infrastructure Survivors”
AI spending may get irrational, but the long-term trend is still upward. Even if a bubble cools, the core infrastructure players will keep winning because demand for compute doesn’t vanish — it compounds.
📌 Action: Gradually build positions in long-term AI infrastructure names like $GOOGL ( ▲ 3.53% ), $MSFT ( ▼ 1.32% ), $AMZN ( ▲ 1.64% ), and broad semiconductor ETFs like $SMH ( ▲ 0.32% ). Dollar-cost average weekly or monthly to smooth volatility.

2. Add Renewable & Energy Efficiency Plays
AI is an energy monster, and even Alphabet admits it’s wrecking climate targets. If the world is doubling down on AI compute, it must double down on clean energy + efficiency tech too. This creates a huge second-order opportunity.
📌 Action: Gain exposure to renewable and energy-efficiency winners through $ICLN ( ▼ 0.06% ), $TAN ( ▲ 0.61% ), or grid-modernisation plays like $NEE ( ▼ 0.3% ) and $ENPH ( ▲ 3.1% ). These benefit from AI’s power-guzzling future without relying on AI hype itself.

3. Diversify Into “Post-Hype” Compounders
If an AI bubble cools off, capital rotates into predictable, fundamentally strong companies that keep compounding no matter the hype cycle. Think of this as a defensive, anti-bubble pocket of your portfolio while still benefiting from tech adoption.
📌 Action: Build or increase positions in diversified compounder ETFs like $VTI ( ▲ 1.16% ) or $VOO ( ▲ 1.0% ), plus secular growers like $ADI ( ▲ 3.16% ), $AVGO ( ▼ 1.91% ), and $ASML ( ▼ 1.48% ). These historically ride through tech bubbles, corrections, and recoveries with consistency.