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 Gainers📈 & Losers📉

Our Biggest Gainers & Losers of the Day in the $100,000 Build Portfolio

For the 21st January 2025:

• The Secret Billionaire Bet 🤫

• Where Do You Get Your News? 🗞️

• The Sports Bet Just Paid Off 🥊

The Secret Billionaire Bet 🤫 

Trump’s in. One of his first moves is to get a bunch of billionaires together to speed up America’s AI arms race.

And he’s bringing some big names to the table. Enter: SoftBank, OpenAI & my biggest gainer for the day, Oracle.

The projects got a pretty nerdy name. Stargate. 

So what is it? And are the stocks involved going to keep rallying & worth buying more?

Let’s find out.

What Is Stargate? 💫 

It’s a joint venture between Oracle, SoftBank, & OpenAI. What are they doing?

The plan is to build next-gen AI infrastructure.

First stop is a mega data center in Texas, because everything’s bigger in Texas (including AI, apparently). The expectation is more projects will pop up in other states down the line.

Who’s in the Room? 🛋️

SoftBank CEO Masayoshi Son, OpenAI chief Sam Altman, & Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison walk in to a room. There’s no punchline.

That room happens to be in the White House. That’s a whole bunch of brainpower in one space.

OpenAI’s sugar daddy (Microsoft) might also be hanging out in the background but no official word on that yet.

They’ve been brought together to pump billions of dollars of private sector investment into AI infrastructure. Stargate is supposed to be the backbone of the U.S.’s push to take control of the AI race on a global stage.

Why Should You Care? 🤔 

There’s a few reason.

• Oracle (ORCL): Already crushing the numbers in cloud computing & AI. Stargate could help them eat up even more market share.

• SoftBank (SFTBY): The Vision Fund loves a big, risky bet. If Stargate takes off, SoftBank’s slice of the pie could get very juicy.

• Microsoft (MSFT): Partnering with OpenAI already tells us Microsoft is betting big on AI. Stargate might be another string in their bow.

It’s sort of like watching the Avengers of AI investing come together on one huge project.

Where Could It All Go Wrong?

Now I don’t wanna be a buzzkill but this news is fresh off the press. Nothing’s actually happened yet.

Big plans like this look great on paper. That’s why Oracle was up 7% today. Everyone’s getting excited. But actually building AI infrastructure isn’t as easy as saying you’re going to do it. That’s before we even think about any red tape that could slow things down.

And now the cats out of the bag we might see other big players in the AI space come together to try & compete. That said, having Trump on your team is a pretty hefty advantage.

My Plan 🗺️ 

This is great news. I already have positions in Oracle & Microsoft so the boost is nice.

That said, I don’t think the news alone is enough for me to want to shuffle position sizes or load up.

Microsoft is 8% of the portfolio. Oracle is 1.3%.

If there’s some real wheels in motion & they nail the project, things might change. Until then, I’m moving them a little higher up in my watchlist to keep a close eye on.

Where Do You Get Your News? 🗞️ 

What Top Execs Read Before the Market Opens

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Join 1M+ professionals who stay informed before the rest of the market catches up.

The Sports Bet Just Paid Off 🥊

Is Jake Paul responsible for Netflix’s Q4 wins?

They’ve just dropped Q4 earnings & it was a knockout.

Record subscriber growth, strong margins & they’re up 14.3% after hours.

But is it too late to buy on market open tomorrow?

Subscriber Growth Off the Charts 📈 

Netflix added 18.91M new subs last quarter. For context, analysts were expecting 9.18M. That’s 44% YoY growth, their biggest ever. Where did they all come from?

• U.S./Canada: Expectations? 1.75M. Reality? Added 4.82M new members. That’s a +72% YoY gain.

• Asia Pacific: +70% growth. Global content = global domination.

• Latin America: +77%. 🔥

• Europe/Middle East/Africa: Added 5M new subs, but down 1% YoY. Europe letting the side down.

Netflix gave all the credit to their A+ line up of shows. Squid Game S2, Mike Tyson vs. Jake Paul, NFL Christmas games & a sprinkle of good old Q4 magic.

Focused on the $$$💰

Here’s an interesting move.

Netflix subscriber numbers usually make or break the earnings report. Now they’ve said enough is enough. This is the last time they’re reporting subscriber numbers.

Why the shift?

They’re shifting focus to profits & sales. It makes sense. What’s the point in having all the subscribers in the world if you’re not making any money? And they’ve made a pretty good start with it.

Q4 operating margins are up to 22.2% (from 16.9% YoY). Forecasts for Q1 2025 are 28.2%.

For a company the size of Netflix a jump that big makes a huge difference.

Q4’s margin was lower than Q3’s 29.6%. Nothing to panic about for now.

Money In The Ads🤑

A controversial move when it first launched but ad-supported tier is already showing it was a great idea.

• 55% of sign-ups in markets where ads are available came from their ad tier.

• Memberships on the ad plan grew 30% QoQ.

They’ve got a few tweaks to the plan coming too like:

• New Extra Member with Ads plan rolling out in 10 more countries.

• A first-party ad-tech platform launched in Canada

Oh, & they quietly raised prices in the U.S., Canada, Portugal, & Argentina. I doubt customers loved it but it looks like they’re still paying. But is it worth paying for the stock because…

The Stock is Pricey 😬 

Netflix is expensive. It was pricey before the 14%+ jump after market. Now I think it might be verging on just not worth it.

Forward P/E is at 35.97x. That’s the highest it’s been since early 2024.

Forward PEG ratio sits at 3. For context, value investors want that number closer to 1. (Forward PEG tells you if a stock’s price actually makes sense based on how fast the company’s earnings are expected to grow)

Analysts expect 12.17% YoY growth in 2025. It’s definitely not a value play. I’m not going to add more for now.

But if you think Netflix are going to deliver on their plans of fatter margins then it might be worth a cautious buy.

That’s all! See you same time tomorrow 👋 

P.S Hit reply & let me know what you thought of today’s newsletter. All feedback is welcomed ❤️